NCAA Tournament March Madness

#219 San Jose St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

San Jose State’s resume tells a simple story: it can win the games it should at home and pick up a useful neutral-site victory, but it has struggled badly in true road tests against high-end opponents and has yet to land a signature win that changes the narrative. The neutral win over Loyola-Chicago and home victories over San Diego and Long Beach State are positives, and a competitive outing at Stanford shows there are quality flashes, but heavy defeats at places like Michigan State, Utah State, New Mexico and Fresno State expose defensive shortcomings and raise questions about consistency away from home. The Mountain West slate still offers clear chances to alter the resume, with reachable home dates against Air Force and UNLV and a return game against New Mexico, while road trips to Nevada and Boise State present make-or-break opportunities to prove this team can win where committees care most. Put together, the body of work balances some respectable wins against a pattern of lopsided losses on the road, which is why the current standing feels grounded in how the team has fared so far and what remains on the schedule.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Utah128L84-75
11/8@UC Santa Barbara164L85-74
11/13@Michigan St12L79-60
11/21Southern Univ257W80-66
11/25(N)Tulsa68L81-51
11/26(N)Loyola-Chicago275W63-51
11/30UC Irvine127L72-63
12/5San Diego215W86-69
12/9Long Beach St242W89-83
12/13Stanford84L86-82
12/20@New Mexico54L88-65
12/30San Diego St52L81-68
1/3@Utah St26L96-78
1/6Fresno St146L70-55
1/10@Grand Canyon10116%
1/13Air Force33985%
1/17UNLV14947%
1/20@Nevada7010%
1/24@Wyoming9713%
1/27Boise St5017%
1/31New Mexico5418%
2/7@Colorado St8712%
2/10@UNLV14926%
2/14Grand Canyon10133%
2/17Nevada7023%
2/21@Boise St506%
2/24@Air Force33969%
2/28Colorado St8726%
3/3@Fresno St14626%
3/7Wyoming9729%