NCAA Tournament March Madness

#256 San Jose St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

San Jose State’s profile makes the projection clear because their season is marked by a couple of respectable moments, like a neutral-site win over Loyola Chicago and home victories over San Diego and Long Beach State, but those highlights are overwhelmed by several lopsided defeats on the road at blue-chip programs such as Michigan State and by heavy losses in league play at places like Nevada, Boise State and New Mexico, which have undermined their résumé and exposed defensive inconsistency. The Spartans haven’t produced a marquee road or neutral victory to balance those setbacks, so their remaining slate — including a home date with Nevada and trips to Boise State and Fresno State along with a more favorable visit to Air Force — are real but limited opportunities to change how the committee will view them. Given the poor damage control away from home and the absence of signature wins, the safest path to the NCAA field runs through winning the conference title rather than relying on an at-large selection.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Utah128L84-75
11/8@UC Santa Barbara117L85-74
11/13@Michigan St13L79-60
11/21Southern Univ269W80-66
11/25(N)Tulsa60L81-51
11/26(N)Loyola-Chicago314W63-51
11/30UC Irvine119L72-63
12/5San Diego214W86-69
12/9Long Beach St240W89-83
12/13Stanford76L86-82
12/20@New Mexico45L88-65
12/30San Diego St42L81-68
1/3@Utah St25L96-78
1/6Fresno St122L70-55
1/10@Grand Canyon68L76-58
1/13Air Force347W70-62
1/17UNLV129L76-62
1/20@Nevada56L87-54
1/24@Wyoming104L66-62
1/27Boise St57L89-58
1/31New Mexico45L90-80
2/7@Colorado St93L65-57
2/10@UNLV129L82-75
2/14Grand Canyon68L94-79
2/17Nevada5615%
2/21@Boise St576%
2/24@Air Force34769%
2/28Colorado St9325%
3/3@Fresno St12216%
3/7Wyoming10427%