NCAA Tournament March Madness

#225 San Jose St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

San Jose State’s résumé is colored by a handful of solid home victories and a neutral-site win over Loyola-Chicago that give the profile a few legit moments, but those flashes are swamped by heavy losses on the road and at neutral sites, most notably at Michigan State, at Utah State, at New Mexico and the neutral loss to Tulsa, and the pattern of defeats at UC Santa Barbara and at Utah underscores a struggle to win away from home. With no signature road or quad-level scalp to point to, the team’s current body of work looks fragile, yet the remainder of the Mountain West schedule hands them clear chances to change the narrative: a home opportunity against Air Force, multiple matchups with UNLV, road tests at Nevada and Wyoming, and important clashes with Boise State, New Mexico, Fresno State and Grand Canyon. If San Jose State can turn those league dates into true road or neutral wins, the résumé will improve markedly; if not, the existing mix of mild highs and damaging losses will leave them needing a conference tournament run to force the committee’s hand.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Utah122L84-75
11/8@UC Santa Barbara174L85-74
11/13@Michigan St13L79-60
11/21Southern Univ277W80-66
11/25(N)Tulsa84L81-51
11/26(N)Loyola-Chicago293W63-51
11/30UC Irvine120L72-63
12/5San Diego208W86-69
12/9Long Beach St249W89-83
12/13Stanford80L86-82
12/20@New Mexico51L88-65
12/30San Diego St52L81-68
1/3@Utah St20L96-78
1/6Fresno St159L70-55
1/10@Grand Canyon88L76-58
1/13Air Force34486%
1/17UNLV14846%
1/20@Nevada7810%
1/24@Wyoming9212%
1/27Boise St7923%
1/31New Mexico5116%
2/7@Colorado St8511%
2/10@UNLV14825%
2/14Grand Canyon8826%
2/17Nevada7823%
2/21@Boise St7910%
2/24@Air Force34469%
2/28Colorado St8525%
3/3@Fresno St15926%
3/7Wyoming9228%